Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 6.504315e-01 0.834797 1.042466 1.290956 1.577466 1.894835 2.270313
2025-08-17 3.717824e-01 0.590764 0.871363 1.244533 1.715239 2.277424 2.987534
2025-08-24 2.399665e-01 0.473128 0.810597 1.301847 1.967027 2.806953 3.917631
2025-08-31 1.440806e-01 0.364240 0.727292 1.304423 2.137855 3.241869 4.758037
2025-09-07 9.712469e-02 0.311571 0.708584 1.386487 2.414818 3.825574 5.815568
2025-09-14 6.223402e-02 0.261509 0.677859 1.439523 2.648142 4.358346 6.826982
2025-09-21 3.691885e-02 0.214101 0.636193 1.463480 2.833720 4.828680 7.768733
2025-09-28 1.838994e-02 0.165012 0.573748 1.437808 2.934390 5.176949 8.550389
2025-10-05 9.613332e-03 0.136644 0.545175 1.465083 3.116127 5.645865 9.510996
2025-10-12 4.230660e-03 0.110663 0.511817 1.475528 3.266774 6.070569 10.417789
2025-10-19 1.076992e-03 0.081733 0.456741 1.431165 3.317162 6.341201 11.106845
2025-10-26 1.205253e-04 0.060101 0.410509 1.394955 3.374899 6.620867 11.812342
2025-11-02 7.334000e-07 0.046935 0.385614 1.403479 3.516601 7.043555 12.751062
2025-11-09 NaN 0.032187 0.342405 1.360145 3.557932 7.306853 13.459392
2025-11-16 NaN 0.027891 0.342752 1.424107 3.806000 7.912774 14.698915
2025-11-23 NaN 0.020780 0.321629 1.428398 3.937620 8.330928 15.661470
2025-11-30 NaN 0.019105 0.331199 1.516523 4.239058 9.038584 17.081404
2025-12-07 NaN 0.016177 0.329695 1.573339 4.480003 9.650777 18.364878
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012529 0.318071 1.599021 4.658282 10.161322 19.499462
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008110 0.290542 1.571839 4.724596 10.482051 20.342887
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006106 0.281946 1.600891 4.909422 11.009624 21.518734
2026-01-04 NaN 0.004217 0.268670 1.612021 5.055398 11.472091 22.597744
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002132 0.240012 1.564872 5.070714 11.705262 23.315376